Pundit Reclassifies Bera-Ose Race From Toss-up

October 30, 2014 | A well-regarded political analyst has changed his prediction for the hotly contested race between Democratic incumbe...


October 30, 2014 |

A well-regarded political analyst has changed his prediction for the hotly contested race between Democratic incumbent Dr. Ami Bera and challenger, Republican Doug Ose.

In his final prediction prior to Tuesday's election, Larry Sabato has changed the race for California's Seventh Congressional District from toss-up to leans Republican.

In his non-partisan Crystal Ball newsletter published by the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, Sabato writes, "Republicans are targeting a number of House seats in California, where turnout will probably be poor because there is no Senate race and Gov. Jerry Brown (D-CA) is saving his war chest as he coasts to an easy win. Outside GOP groups are spending all over the state, and they’ve dumped a boatload of money into the district of Rep. Ami Bera (D, CA-7). We think Republicans win at least one Democratic seat in the Golden State, and Bera’s seems the likeliest at this point."

Not surprisingly, Ose's campaign has seized on Sabato's prediction.

“My message of improving Sacramento's economy has attracted people from all across this district," Ose said in a press release issued this morning.   


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